Category: Blog

San Diego Chargers +3.5 -110 Aside from the fact that divisional road dogs are 48-27 ATS since 2015, I love this line value. Giving Denver 4 points for HFA, this

SF TT Under 19.5 -110 Personally, I think this is 2.5 points too high and I would have played it at 17. Cardinals are 1-3 yes, but they still have

Patriots PK -105 (1u) Don’t give BB points at home! Since week 4 of 2001, the Pats are 11-1 ATS as home dogs, winning more than a TD on avg.

TNF: Buffalo Bills pk +100 (1u) Fade the Fitz! I think there is a solid chance Fitzpatrick will be benched by week 6. He is a terrible QB and everyone

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys I love Tony Romo as a QB and I feel sorry for him and for Football, but it’s time to acclimate with Dak Prescott

Introduction I’ve worked out an interesting trend for week one and wanted to share it. But first of all, let me make a few things clear: technical handicapping can be

I see a lot of Power Rankings having the Chiefs in the top-10 going into this season and some experts even see them as a team that could make a

Regression methods in the NFL I don’t know how familiar you are with statistical methods, so I am going to simplify the term regression. Regression just means that over- or

I don’t know the number, but I would guess that backup QBs cover at a very good rate in their first game, because the team in general is undervalued in